The Potential of the Net is far more than today’s Colliseum

The Hook.

It just cost you two seconds to click through and the page to render. A majority of browsers will click back or kill the tab, leaving 15% of social web referrals still reading. Each and every character and moment counts. The choice of fonts, page layout, and side bar all arouse immediate judgement in the mind of a new visitor. But all this design effort is just feeding the beast. Your question, what’s the point?

Money on the Table

There’s a white water river of value raging all around us every second. Hundreds of millions of people are creating and consuming network born content each day. Messages most often whither. A precious few signals sail between minds, propagated by an urge to share, and an instinct to prove our judgement is sound. The sum of all humanity communicating is no small thing. It is a beast with no end to its hunger, nor boundary to its being. The appetite of the crowd for (digital) stimuli is ceaseless and ever changing.

We can feed the beast now to earn a warm meal for our belly. Or we can choose to struggle, to explore, to discover, to cross impossible distances in hopes of revealing undeniable social value.

Optimize or Build?

There’s an ongoing resource allocation game and we’re all playing whether we wish to or otherwise. We can spend our time and money to cash in on existing inefficiencies, or choose to create new ones. Most successful businesses start with the latter and then optimize to the point of financial extinction while picking up a few coins in the process. If the business identifies a new high value region while optimizing its primary function, it may survive another market generation.

It’s funny that we are capable of building tools that can do just about anything*, but when it comes to producing a single instance of value, we struggle. That’s probably why most of the world’s energy is expended optimizing what already is. There’s no (hard) open ended question to answer when we focus on efficiency. Building or more often repurposing existing concepts and laying the foundation for follow on construction takes great insight (crazy) and risk ($). Good technology has an odd way of attracting other tech on top of itself. It’s easier to extend and connect complex tools with clear interfaces than it is to reinvent them. The “not invented here” syndrome that has taxed builders everywhere may finally decline with open source and even less restrictive tool sharing^.

Notes:

* = powerful programming languages, huge construction technology, genetic manipulation

^ = There are many advantages of socially developed technology. Reliability beyond the life of a single business, diverse testing and extension, and the sum of focused part time efforts being greater than its parts are just a few of the benefits of shared technology development (open source being one type)

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  • Leland

    Mark I love your resource allocation-style blog postings. Always a fun read. :)

    I think the reason why innovation is always difficult is because when innovating you are not competing against a static system.. you are competing against the whole dynamic of the human race (for the most part). Additionally, one can already see the entire world converging into one massive conglomerate. These times are so exciting… never before has the world been so connected. It's really amazing. We are even in the stages of dragging our virtual connectivity into the real world.

    So much connectivity creates more competition… actually in the future there will be so much competition that I wonder how our societies can possibly maintain a balance between consumption and creation when it takes such a small amount of people to create such a large amount of content.

    I mean, look at how many people you needed to create a car in the near-past. Hundreds of people… but now you only need a small team of five or so people to run the assembly line. Perhaps we are optimizing our current processes faster then we can create new markets to replace the lost jobs from our optimization?

    By the way mark I miss nostat.us. :)

  • http://www.victusspiritus.com/ Mark Essel

    I miss nostat.us too. I suspect there will be a number of web apps that don't quite catch on that drift away.

    What I can do is move them to free hosting on the google app engine or heroku while pushing the source to github. I'd like to revisit nostat.us to learn about sockets – maybe using node.js. The first version was all Tyler's inspiration but I never dug into how best to host real time messages: websockets versus long polling/comet